
Lytle (R) is set for his last fight, against Hardy (L) (Tracy Lee/See CombatLifestyle.com for full album)
UFC on Versus 5 takes place Sunday at the Bradley Center in Milwaukee, and features a main event between Dan Hardy and Chris Lytle.
MMADieHards.com selected a panel of writers and radio personalities to contribute their picks for each bout on the card, and each wrote in defense of the fighter they selected against the majority of the panel, hence “Counterpunch.”
Our lineup of participants is comprised of Joe Rizzo, Bob Badders, Hector Castro, Robert G. Reynolds, and me, Jason Kelly.
Jim Miller and Cole Miller were unanimously selected, but all others brought a “Counterpunch.” Below, we list the match, the minotiry fighter being defended, and the author of the write-up.
Chris Lytle vs. Dan Hardy
Defending Lytle: Jason Kelly
As much as I want to see Hardy secure his employment in the UFC, I believe Lytle will prevail victorious.
Lytle and Hardy have agreed to stand and bang in this bout, but if “Lights Out” is falling behind in the match you can be sure he will use his ground skills. I think Lytle will trade blows with Hardy, and win the exchanges. Knowing that Lytle can take down Hardy at will, and possesses a better submission game than the Brit, makes me believe that Lytle has the advantage wherever the fight takes place. Lytle can throw punches with no regard because he won’t have to be cautious of the takedown. If Lytle gets in trouble on his feet, as Hardy is a decent striker, the TUF 4 competitor can initiate the takedown and display another awesome submission.
I think Lytle is a more polished version of Hardy, therefore I predict Lytle will take this bout via TKO in the second round and walk off into retirement.
Duane Ludwig vs. Amir Sadollah
Defending Ludwig: Jason Kelly
As much as Sadollah has improved in the striking department, there is a reason Ludwig carries the name “Bang.”
Ludwig is a phenomenal kickboxer coming out of Grudge in Colorado, with a skill set passed down from Bas Rutten. Sadollah is a fighter who is getting more and more technical with his striking in each fight, but I do not believe he is yet on the level of Ludwig. I see Sadollah trying to continue using the skills that have amassed him a few wins in a row. I think Ludwig will recognize that early in the bout and exploit Sadollah’s striking.
Ludwig should take this fight with a vicious knockout in Round 3 of their scrap.
CB Dollaway vs. Jared Hamman
Defending Hamman: Joe Rizzo
Hamman is dropping to 185 pounds for the first time. Because of his 6’3″ frame, expect Hamman to retain most of his knockout power, especially since he reported that the weight cut was a smooth transition. Dollaway’s style leaves him open to taking punishment, like he did against Mark Munoz in his most recent fight. Hamman does not have the ground game of Munoz, but packs plenty of power in his stand-up. Most important, he also has the chin to take a few blasts in order to get in his licks.
Hamman’s last two contests have ended with fight of the night honors, but he’ll be in line for knockout of the night after this one.
Joseph Benavidez vs. Eddie Wineland
Defending Wineland: Joe Rizzo
The benchmark most pundits are using for Wineland in this fight is his performance against Benavidez’s stablemate, Urijah Faber. But a more useful comparison could be UFC bantamweight champion Dominick Cruz, who is the only man to defeat Benavidez (and did it twice). Wineland wants to keep this fight standing and can try and mimic Cruz’s blisteringly fast style. More likely, he’ll try and get inside to land heavy shots, then get away and avoid the takedown.
Wineland, a former bantamweight champ in the WEC, is one of the rare 135-pounders with legitimate knockout power. Benavidez has never been stopped, but Wineland has as good a chance as anyone in the division to change that.
Jason Reinhardt vs. Edwin Figueroa
Defending Reinhardt: Robert G. Reynolds
With a record of 20-2, Reinhardt is not a fighter to be taken lightly. With Reinhardt’s only two appearances within the UFC ending with submission losses, he is looking to put an end to that streak and show that he can win with the top competition under the UFC umbrella.
The main disadvantage for Figueroa (7-1) is that this will only be his second fight in the UFC. His introduction to the UFC was a loss, and there is a lot that could be playing mentally with the young fighter.
At the age of 41, Reinhardt may seem to be near the end of his career, but that would be his career in the insurance business. After Sunday, Reinhardt will be starting his new career as a UFC fighter, taking out Figueroa via rear naked choke late in the first round.
Charles Oliveira vs. Donald Cerrone
Defending Oliveira: Robert G. Reynolds
Oliveira has had a shaky introduction into the UFC, winning his first two fights in dominating fashion, then failing to win in the next two with a submission loss and a no contest due to an illegal knee.
Oliveira was brought into the UFC with a 12-0 record and hyped to be the next gifted fighter to come out of Brazil. Some of this still holds true, Oliveira is still one of the most dominant and unorthodox fighters within the lightweight division.
Cerrone is no walk-through for Oliveira. Cerrone has been typically used to taking down up-and-coming fighters within the WEC and has been making moves up the division within the UFC. An excited Oliveira will be looking to make another jump up the lightweight division ladder.
Look for a TKO midway through the second round for Oliveira.
Alex “Bruce LeeRoy” Caceres vs. Jim Hettes
Defending Caceres: Robert G. Reynolds
Come on, does it really matter if he wins? Once thing we can guarantee is that the fight fans will be winning for this match because you can count on Caceres, a.k.a. Bruce LeeRoy, to put on a fantastic fight.
With a record of 5-3, Bruce LeeRoy first made a name for himself as a colorful character on season 12 of The Ultimate Fighter. What separates Caceres from most other characters in the house was his ability to back up his words.
Fighting the undefeated Jim Hettes is going to be a major challenge for the young Caceres. Hettes bring an impressive 8-0 record into his inaugural visit to the Octagon with only two of his fights making it to the second round. With all of Hettes’ eight wins coming via submission, the crafty Caceres will be doing everything in his power to keep this fight on its feet.
Hettes is going to get caught with a flying knee late in the first round going for a takedown attempt, giving Bruce LeeRoy the win via TKO.
Ed Herman vs. Kyle Noke
Defending Herman: Bob Badders
Noke’s five-fight win streak will come to an end on Sunday night at the hands of Herman.
Yes, Noke is the favorite here (I wouldn’t be writing this if that wasn’t the case), but Herman has a bit of a new lease on his UFC life. After suffering back-to-back losses to Damian Maia and Alan Belcher, Herman responded with a crucial win over David Loiseau at UFC 97. However, in his next fight he suffered a devastating knee injury that forced a stoppage and loss to Aaron Simpson just 17 seconds into the second round. It would be nearly two years until Herman would get back in the Octagon, and he made his return an emphatic one by stopping Tim Credeur on punches in under a minute at The Ultimate Fighter 13 Finale.
Herman has the skills to beat the wrestling-boxing strengths of Noke. A wrestler himself and Team Quest team member, Herman has earned both submission and knockout of the night bonuses, and has also proved he can take a fight the distance and come out on top. Noke is a dangerous grappler who has won four of his last fights by stoppage, including three rear-naked choke submissions, so Herman has to keep him off his back. But I like ‘Short Fuse’ to do that, riding the momentum from a triumphant return to the Octagon back in June and picking up his 22nd career win.
Jacob Volkmann vs. Danny Castillo
Defending Volkmann: Bob Badders
Right now, Volkmann is best known for calling out President Barack Obama after a win over Antonio McKee at UFC 125. But if that is all Danny Castillo sees in his opponent Sunday, there’s going to be some problems.
Volkmann’s name made it around the talk show circuit after said he would like to fight the President – and he even got visit from the Secret Service – but let’s forget about all that for a second, because none of that matters inside the Octagon. Volkmann is a 12-2 fighter currently enjoying a three-fight winning streak and coming off the aforementioned win over former division champ McKee. Volkmann hasn’t finished any of his fights in the UFC so far, and I think it will be the same Sunday night.
Castillo, hailing from Team Alpha Male, is a WEC veteran with stopping power and above-average grappling, but I think this is going to come down to Volkmann’s wrestling ability. Both were collegiate wrestlers, but Volkmann gets the major edge as a three-time NCAA Division I All-American and Big Ten Conference Champion for the University of Minnesota. Castillo was an NAIA All-American in 2004 for Menlo College, but the grappling edge clearly goes to Volkmann. I see him taking down Castillo and grinding out a unanimous decision victory for his fourth straight win. The only question is, who will he call out this time?
Ronny Markes vs. Karlos Vemola
Defending Markes: Hector Castro
I’m not surprised to see Vemola be the favorite pick in this matchup. Vemola already has had some success in the UFC with a victory over Seth Petruzelli at UFC 122. But Vemola’s resume is rather weak in my opinion. He had early success against pack of UK fighters and has had mixed results in the UFC after losing to the developing Jon Madsen and scoring a TKO over Bellator-bound Seth Petruzelli.
This is a classic matchmaking by the UFC where they test a current 1-1 fighter against a top up & coming prospect. Markes looks to have a very similar skill set to fellow Brazilian and UFC welterweight Thiago Alves. Markes (11-1) has submitted four opponents and TKO’d five others. Being a part of the world famous Kimura/Nova Uniao camp, Markes has already beaten a big name in his last fight in former WEC middleweight champion Paulo Filho.
This fight looks more like a great platform to launch Markes instead of a favorable matchup for Vemola. I expect to see Vemola to start the fight standing but after a couple of solid punches from the explosive Markes, Vemola will attempt to take the fight to the ground where the BJJ standout will catch Vemola in a submission.